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Russian rail transportation of bulk commodities: analysis and outlook

Russian rail transportation of bulk commodities

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Russia is one of world’s leading exporters of commodities. Commodities (oil and gas, agricultural products, metals, timber and mineral products) have consistently accounted for more than 75% of the value of exports over the past five years. Bulk commodities accounted for 21% of the value of exports in 2017 and are growing in both value and physical volume terms.

This report analyses the dynamics of the primary types of dry commodities including coal, iron ore, grains, mineral fertilizers and timber. Included within our analysis are the production and transportation volumes of these commodities across their key transportation routes.

Our analysis extends to the fleets of railcars used in the transportation of these commodities such as gondolas, grain hoppers, mineral hoppers and timber flatcars. Combining daily rates between 2013 and 2017 and a forecast to 2022 we have included an overview of railcar manufacture and analysis of the fleet balance. Subject to approval, the complete report is available upon request from vtoporov@kpmg.ru.

During the preparation of the Report, KPMG used information derived from various sources, including publicly available macroeconomic and industry information. The information in this report is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular entity. Although we endeavour to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. Further, many statements or figures contained in this Report include forecasts or projections. Actual market developments, particularly transportation volumes, daily rates, an excess or deficit of railcars and other forecasted market parameters are likely to be different from such forecasts or projections since, for example, anticipated events frequently do not occur as expected and the variation may be material. KPMG does not express any assurance on the information in this Report, nor does KPMG assume any liability for the accuracy of the information, including the forecasts and projections.

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