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Managing Brexit: risk and opportunity

Managing Brexit

British business is entering a new era. Companies are concerned and need time to assess the implications. But businesses are resilient and will adapt to any new landscape. KPMG is here to work with you, preparing for any scenario and providing support in the months ahead.

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Deputy Chair KPMG UK and Partner Corporate Finance, Debt Advisory

KPMG in the UK

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Join us at 1pm on Monday 27th June to join our experts as they assess the implications of the referendum. Led by KPMG Vice Chair Melanie Richards, the webcast offers the chance to ask them how the result may affect your funding, supply chain, tax and tariffs, workforce and more.

Register for KPMG's EU Referendum result webcast

Giles Williams

Financial Services: Giles Williams

Financial Services: Giles Williams

Financial Services Partner at KPMG in the UK

“The leave vote will send a shudder through the financial services industry. The sector now needs to step forward and tell the government exactly what it needs from negotiations with the EU.” 

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"We would expect UK companies’ appetite for new leases and liabilities to diminish, leading to a general dip in occupier demand – possibly in the City in particular. That said, should sterling go into tailspin, investors playing the long game are more likely to jump on what could be a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. Given the traditional strength of the UK property market, it’s likely to be seen as a relatively safe bet, despite currency turmoil.”

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“The Brexit vote will see the UK economy navigating in extremely turbulent waters over the coming months. In the short term, the thick fog of uncertainty will make it hard for businesses to plan beyond the immediate horizon. Businesses need to reassess priorities and adjust for fresh realities in terms of new tariffs and other trade restrictions, pressures on wages and labour availability, and a deterioration in public finances.” 

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"The U.K.'s 6,000 private sector DB schemes covering £1.6 trillion of pensions obligations will be in for a rough ride hit with the prospect of higher inflation, and an expected fall off in pension asset values over the next couple of years. Four out of five schemes were already underfunded. UK businesses will be under pressure to divert cash to shore up historic pension liabilities.”

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“There vast numbers of EU nationals working in the hospitality sector. EU supplier and commercial contracts will need to be reviewed, and foreign visitor numbers will also be a concern for the industry. On an economic level, it’s fair to predict that today’s result will probably impact consumer confidence, driving down discretionary spend in the short to medium term."

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“It’s very likely people will put big decisions like house purchases on hold. We can expect things to stay deflated for some time – perhaps until next spring. There will be a tale of two economies when it comes to prices. Outside central London, we don't expect to see material price discounting. But in central London, the softening that has already occurred will continue."

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“A downturn in the financial markets would put further pressure on hard-pressed local authority finances and pension deficits. Restrictions on labour movement could hit social care services and the workforce needed to deliver major programmes too."

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“The things that make the UK tech sector so strong and attractive remain in place. I see it not only withstanding this result, but continuing to grow and thrive.”

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“Industrial manufacturers have three obvious challenges: understanding what the supply chain looks like beyond their big suppliers; considering how to retain non-UK talent and develop more at home; and investment. Whether manufacturers choose to locate or develop their operations in the UK will probably depend on the shape of negotiations with Europe, but government action will be important to ensure we remain attractive.”

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brexit

Brexit in the Boardroom - the role of Internal Audit

Brexit in the Boardroom - the role of Internal Audit

This paper addresses potential implications and issues that organisations ought to consider and examines the role of Internal Audit.

© 2018 KPMG LLP, a UK limited liability partnership, and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

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