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2018 global banking M&A trends

2018 global banking M&A trends

M&A momentum flowing into 2018

The global banking M&A market demonstrated continued resilience in 2017, with deal volume remaining relatively stable compared to 2016. Here is a summary of the top 10 trends, divided into five geographic and five thematic areas where KPMG's sector specialists expect to see the most impact in 2018.

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Geographic trends

1. US

Regional banks to expand and diversify

Community bank consolidation to continue and accelerate

2. Europe 

European banks expect medium-term regional consolidation, but domestic deal activity prevails

State-aided banks continue to repair balance sheets and shed assets Divestures a continuing deal driver in 2018

3. ASPAC

Regional and country consolidation expected in 2018

Bancassurance continues to drive deals

4. China Shifting emphasis from outbound to inbound — relaxing restrictions on ownership for foreign financial firms
5. Japan

Regional banks’ consolidation continues

Outbound M&A by Japanese financial institutions to pick up in 2018

Thematic trends

6. Portfolio sales Regulation and IFRS9 contribute to maturing but active NPL markets
7. Fintech Global banks ‘buy approach’ gaining momentum — expect more purchases than investments
8. Private equity No sign of slowing in 2018
9. Basel IV Expect considerable impact on bank business models
10. Deal corridors

New emerging corridors to watch — from the US to India and to China; Europe and Japan to India

Western Europe to China; and East Asia to South East Asia

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